Life & Health

Australia can learn from Asia’s 30 years fighting bird flu

Hong Kong stopped its 1997 outbreak by culling 1.5 million birds in three days, but the virus has since evolved to kill wild animals at unprecedented scale, forcing Australia to rethink containment before the first farm case arrives.

On 21 June 2026, Australia’s Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry confirmed H5N1 highly pathogenic avian influenza in short-tailed shearwaters on Western Australia’s Breaksea Island, after earlier detections in South Australia. There have been no detections in commercial poultry, and national egg and chicken supplies remain unaffected. Australian authorities say their priority is keeping the virus out of farms through surveillance and on-farm biosecurity.

Asia has fought this virus for nearly 30 years, since the first human cases in Hong Kong in 1997. The pattern its scientists describe is consistent: the countries that moved fastest, and paid farmers fairly, contained it.

Australia is the last populated continent the virus reached. That distance bought it time, and time is the one advantage Asia never had.

The H5N1 strain confirmed in short-tailed shearwaters on Breaksea Island is not the same disease Hong Kong faced in 1997. It now kills wild birds and marine mammals in numbers never seen before. The World Organisation for Animal Health reports mass die-offs of sea lions and seals in South America, and infections spreading across more than 80 countries since 2020.

Mark Schipp, Australia’s Chief Veterinary Officer, said the detections in wild birds were expected given the global spread, and that the goal now is to stop H5N1 reaching commercial flocks. That goal is shared by every government in Asia that has lived with this virus. Most of them learned how to chase it the hard way. The question for Australia is whether three decades of someone else’s experience can be borrowed before the first farm case arrives.

The countries that moved fastest contained it

The clearest lesson from Asia is about speed. In 1997, Hong Kong culled 1.5 million chickens in three days and stopped the outbreak. Thailand later paired rapid culling with fair, prompt payment to farmers. “The culling limited the viral spread and cut the transmission chain,” said Prasert Auewarakul, a professor of avian flu at Mahidol University in Bangkok.

Money is the part outsiders miss. Vinod Balasubramaniam, an associate professor in molecular virology at Monash University Malaysia, has studied where culling policies succeed and where they collapse. “If compensation is delayed, inadequate or poorly trusted, farmers may hesitate to report disease,” he said. “That creates silent transmission.” His blunter point lands harder: “In outbreak control, delayed reporting is often more dangerous than the case itself.”

That is the mechanism Australia must understand before it copies any tool. A cull only works if a farmer calls it in on day one. A farmer only calls if they trust they will be paid. The biosecurity chain runs through human trust, not just disinfectant.

The same logic governs vaccination. China vaccinated billions of birds in the mid-2000s; it cut outbreaks but never made the virus disappear. Balasubramaniam is precise about the limit. Vaccination “is most valuable where the virus is already entrenched or where repeated culling is not socially, economically or logistically sustainable,” he said. “It should be understood as a risk-reduction tool, not a standalone solution.” Andrew Pekosz, professor of molecular microbiology and immunology at Johns Hopkins, adds that even mass culling only works with early detection and farmer cooperation. The most relevant Asian lessons, Balasubramaniam concludes, are speed, surveillance, biosecurity and trust.

Australia’s commercial flocks are concentrated and tightly run, unlike the backyard farming that helped the virus hide across parts of Southeast Asia. The current detections sit in official guidance held by the Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry. What is not yet spelled out is how a farm-scale cull would actually be paid for and run.

The disease changed, and the playbook has to change with it

The culling figures above tell a story of escalation. Hong Kong stopped its outbreak with 1.5 million birds. South Korea culled around 27 million in a single 2020–21 season. The scale of containment has grown because the virus has.

This is the part that reshapes the lesson. H5N1 is now, in epidemiological terms, almost a different disease from the one Asia first met. It kills wild birds and mammals at a scale that did not exist before 2020. A poultry-only response was built for a poultry-only problem.

That matters for any long-term plan. Climate-driven shifts in migratory bird routes and wetland ecology could alter where and when Australian flocks are exposed, a factor that may weigh as heavily as any choice between culling and vaccines. Australia’s standards are guided by the National Farm Biosecurity Manual for Poultry Production and overseen by federal authorities, with international notification rules set under the WOAH Terrestrial Animal Health Code.

The time Australia bought with its isolation is real but finite. Gina Samaan, regional emergency director for the World Health Organization in the Western Pacific, frames the conclusion plainly: “There is no single magic bullet to stopping outbreaks or new incursions of bird flu. It takes coordinated action across sectors and a sustained investment.” Asia learned that by paying for the lesson. Australia can read it first.

Beyond the headline

The bigger picture

Asia’s long struggle with H5N1 shows that control is ultimately about how societies manage the points where wildlife, food systems and public health meet, not just about killing infected birds. For Australia, the task is to bind conservation agencies, poultry companies and human health authorities into one framework before the virus tests the seams between them.

The response gap

Australia’s surveillance and farm systems are comparatively strong, but the country has not yet spelled out how compensation, culling logistics and cross-jurisdiction decisions would work if H5N1 reached large operations. Asian experience suggests any ambiguity here can slow reporting and fracture the response when speed matters most.

What isn’t being said

Public messaging has focused on low consumer risk and the absence of farm cases. Less attention goes to how shifting bird routes and changing wetlands could move exposure patterns over time. Building those environmental changes into planning may matter as much as the choice of control tool.

What the next few weeks ask of you

With detections confined to wild birds and the department’s next update expected within weeks, three groups have decisions to make now.

  • Backyard and small-flock keepers

    Keep your birds away from wild waterfowl, use dedicated footwear in bird areas, and quarantine any new birds for at least 14 days. Report unusual illness or deaths to your state hotline at once. The department’s avian influenza page carries the current detection map and keeper guidance.

  • Commercial producers and supply-chain buyers

    Confirm your written biosecurity plan, mortality records and emergency disease response are current and audited. Ensure production records are accurate enough to support a compensation claim under the Emergency Animal Disease Response Agreement, which pays market value per bird plus cleaning costs.

  • People tracking public-health risk

    Review the WHO’s H5N1 situation updates to see how Australia fits global trends, including human case numbers and One Health policy that may shape future travel or trade measures.

FAQ

How are Australian poultry farmers compensated if their birds are culled?

Under the Emergency Animal Disease Response Agreement, governments and industry share response costs. Producers hit by compulsory culling for H5N1 generally receive compensation based on the market value of their birds plus reasonable cleaning and disposal expenses, administered by state or territory agriculture departments. Details vary by jurisdiction, so growers should consult local guidelines and keep accurate production records to support claims.

What should small poultry keepers do during an H5N1 alert?

Prevent contact between domestic birds and wild waterfowl, use dedicated footwear and clothing in bird areas, control visitors, and quarantine new birds for at least 14 days. Report unusual illness or deaths to state hotlines promptly. These steps matter because small flocks can bridge wildlife and larger commercial operations if left unmanaged.

Can people catch H5N1 from eating poultry?

WHO advises that most human H5N1 infections come from close, unprotected contact with infected birds or contaminated environments, not from eating properly cooked poultry. People handling birds should wear gloves and masks around sick or dead animals, avoid touching wild bird carcasses, and seek medical advice if flu-like symptoms develop after exposure. National authorities will update guidance if local risk changes.

Could Australia move to vaccinate poultry against H5N1?

Not quickly. Prototype H5N1 poultry vaccines exist and are used in countries such as China and Egypt, but wider deployment requires strain selection, manufacturing and regulatory clearance. In Australia, any shift would need assessment by the Australian Pesticides and Veterinary Medicines Authority and alignment with WOAH trade rules, placing nationwide rollout on a horizon of at least three to five years rather than as an immediate response.

Explainer

H5N1
A highly pathogenic strain of avian influenza that first infected humans in Hong Kong in 1997. Between 2003 and 24 June 2026, WHO recorded 893 confirmed human cases and 463 deaths worldwide, a fatality rate near 52%. Since 2020 it has caused mass die-offs in wild birds and marine mammals, behaviour not seen in earlier outbreaks.
WOAH
The World Organisation for Animal Health, the global body that sets animal-disease standards and tracks outbreaks. Its Terrestrial Animal Health Code requires member countries to report highly pathogenic avian influenza within 24 hours. WOAH counts more than 80 countries with detections since 2020, the widest geographic spread on record.
Emergency Animal Disease Response Agreement
Australia’s framework for sharing the cost of responding to serious animal diseases between government and industry. It governs how culling, or “stamping out,” is funded and how farmers are compensated at market value. The agreement is the mechanism through which any large H5N1 poultry cull in Australia would be paid for and coordinated across states.
One Health
An approach that treats human, animal and environmental health as a single connected system. WHO uses it to frame zoonotic threats like H5N1, where viruses move between wildlife, livestock and people. For Australia, it means binding conservation agencies, poultry firms and health authorities into one coordinated response rather than separate silos.