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Asia’s best founders are already in San Francisco

The U.S. captured 80% of global venture funding in early 2026, while Southeast Asia's tech funding collapsed to $2.2 billion in 2024, forcing founders like Yoevan Khemlani and Sanjil Jain to relocate for access to capital, customers, and exit markets.

The United States vacuumed up 80% of all global startup funding in the first quarter of 2026, while Asia’s share fell to 9.6%. The concentration is pulling Asia’s most ambitious founders across the Pacific — more than 30 Asian founding teams have relocated with venture-capital firm Antler alone since 2025.

A near-80% collapse in Southeast Asian tech funding between 2022 and 2024 left the region with about 0.5% of worldwide venture capital. The court‑blocked H‑1B fee hike removed a near‑term threat, but the deeper imbalance between U.S. exit markets and Asia’s fragmented capital pools is driving the exodus.

The United States captured 80% of all global startup funding in the first quarter of 2026. That is not just a funding statistic. It is the gravitational force pulling Asia’s most ambitious founders out of the region — a structural imbalance that has turned the American venture market into a one‑way suction pipe for entrepreneurial talent.

“Most of the founders we see in Asia these days want to build global businesses, and the attraction of being in the U.S. is unmistakable for that purpose,” says Jussi Salovaara, co‑founder and managing partner of Asia at venture‑capital firm Antler. “Customers, talent and capital are all found in abundance there.” Since 2025, Antler alone has helped more than 30 Asian founding teams set up in the United States.

Yoevan Khemlani, founder of AI‑startup Interfaze, moved his operations from Singapore to the San Francisco Bay Area in May 2025. His customers were already there or selling into the U.S. market. “We saw the market was there and decided to move,” he says. His relocation is less a personal choice than a rational economic one — and he is far from alone.

The money has already crossed the Pacific

The numbers that explain Khemlani’s move are blunt. According to CB Insights, U.S.-based startups raised $193.2 billion in venture funding in 2025. Asia-based startups raised $56.4 billion. That three‑to‑one gap widened further in early 2026, when massive rounds for OpenAI and Anthropic pushed the U.S. share to 80% while Asia’s fell to 9.6%.

For Southeast Asia the picture is bleaker. Tech funding in the region fell from $10.1 billion in 2022 to $2.2 billion in 2024, a drop of nearly 80%, according to a joint report by Cento Ventures and AVV. The region now accounts for roughly 0.5% to 2% of global venture investment. Most APAC capital concentrates in China and India, leaving Southeast Asia’s fragmented markets starved.

“When you invest in the U.S., you’re investing in the whole country, which is a huge market,” Khemlani says. “But when you invest in Southeast Asia, you have to pick which country you want to invest in. The go‑to‑market strategy in each Southeast Asian nation is very different.”

The widening funding gap between the U.S. and Asia
Metric Figure Source Date
U.S. startup venture funding $193.2 billion CB Insights 2025
Asia startup venture funding $56.4 billion CB Insights 2025
Southeast Asia tech funding $2.2 billion Cento Ventures/AVV 2024
Southeast Asia tech funding $10.1 billion Cento Ventures/AVV 2022
Asia share of global VC funding 20% (down from 34%) CB Insights 2025
H-1B registrations vs. cap ~680,000 vs. 85,000 visas USCIS FY2026

Dry powder sits idle while the exit door stays shut

Asia is not short of money. Preqin reports that Asia‑Pacific venture dry powder topped $150 billion at the end of 2025, but annual deployment has fallen more than 40% from its 2021 peak. The capital is there; it just cannot find exits. Southeast Asia’s IPO market raised $6.5 billion in 2025 — a 76% jump — yet that figure is dwarfed by the $37 billion raised in Hong Kong listings alone, and several regional companies like JustCo and Foundation Healthcare traded below their offer prices soon after debut.

The cultural calculus widens the gap. “Asian investors focus on revenue growth and profitability earlier,” Salovaara says, while U.S. investors are more willing to back a vision. Founders who need patient capital to chase scale end up on a plane. Sanjil Jain, founder of AI‑powered robotics platform Drift, relocated from India to the U.S. in April 2026. “These whisper networks aren’t anywhere else,” he says. Hiring three Americans for his five‑person team was straightforward; in India, “it would have taken us a lot of time to sieve out the exact profile.”

Regulatory architecture reinforces the tilt. Singapore’s light‑touch VC regime and India’s tax‑holiday Startup India scheme help launch companies, but neither can match the depth of U.S. exit markets or the Delaware corporate‑law flexibility that late‑stage investors demand. A U.S. federal court in June 2026 blocked the Trump administration’s proposed H‑1B fee hike from $5,000 to $100,000, but with 680,000 registrations chasing an 85,000 visa cap, the pathway remains brutal for non‑citizen founders.

The feedback loop is self‑reinforcing. When the world’s biggest AI rounds clear in one country, founders with global ambitions migrate toward that capital stack, further depressing valuations in the markets they leave. That dynamic, not individual ambition, is what has hollowed out Asia’s startup pipeline. The Q3 2026 funding data due in the autumn will show whether the trend has paused — or whether Asia’s most fluid ambition has already been permanently rerouted.

Beyond the headline

The Bigger Picture

The relocation wave is less a story about founder initiative than about how capital concentration reshapes where innovation happens. When most late‑stage and AI mega‑rounds clear in one country, the rational response for a global‑minded founder is to move. That movement further weakens exit markets in Asia, depressing local valuations and hollowing out the most scalable startups in a self‑feeding loop.

The Money Trail

U.S. capital‑market infrastructure and asset managers capture the equity upside of relocated Asian startups and the fee flows from funds reallocating away from Asia. Meanwhile, Asian sovereign investors and pension funds that seeded local VC ecosystems risk crystallising lower returns when portfolio companies redomicile or list abroad, shifting future tax and dividend streams offshore.

The Reach

One underappreciated consequence: Asia’s domain expertise is being channelled into products built for U.S. enterprise needs. When founders with deep experience in Indian manufacturing or Southeast Asian logistics optimise for American customers first, U.S. corporates gain bespoke tools and talent. Local Asian SMEs, however, may see slower diffusion of solutions that were originally conceived in their own markets.

A dollar in San Francisco is worth more right now

With the U.S. absorbing 80% of early‑2026 venture dollars and Asian exits still anaemic, Western investors, originals, and professional talent face a short‑term landscape where the gravitational centre is fixed — but the pathways in are narrow.

  • Western VC allocator

    US‑listed mega‑caps and AI‑focused ETFs continue to benefit as Asian startups land in San Francisco and build on their infrastructure. But funds with direct Southeast Asia exposure face exit‑multiple compression. Review the CB Insights State of Venture report to weigh rebalancing timelines. The gap between the Nasdaq and SGX’s iEdge Southeast Asia Tech Index — now above 20 percentage points over 12 months — is the number to watch.

  • U.S.‑based founder hiring from Asia

    The court block on the $100,000 H‑1B fee keeps early‑stage sponsorship viable, but only 85,000 visas exist against nearly 700,000 registrations. Explore current USCIS guidance on O‑1 extraordinary‑ability visas, which are increasingly used by founding teams. As Jain’s experience shows, U.S. hiring runs faster once you are on the ground, but visa‑wait times for Indian and Chinese nationals remain a bottleneck.

  • Asian institutional investor

    If redomiciliation becomes the default for top‑quartile startups, your fund’s return assumptions need recasting. A share‑swap into a U.S. parent can subordinate your position under a new preferred round, altering liquidation preferences and tax treatment. Speak to your fund’s legal counsel about tightening anti‑flip provisions in new term sheets; the window to negotiate that is narrowing.

  • Western tech professional joining a founder’s team

    O‑1 and E‑2 visas are the practical workarounds for founders and early engineers without H‑1B slots. O‑1 demands evidence of “extraordinary ability”— awards, critical roles, or publications — and typically requires expert legal help. The blocked fee hike means startup sponsorship remains affordable, but the lottery odds are grim. Factor in at least six months for processing unless you qualify for premium handling.

FAQ

What are the alternative U.S. visa routes for startup founders beyond the H‑1B?

Founders increasingly use O‑1 visas for individuals with “extraordinary ability” and E‑2 treaty‑investor visas where eligible. O‑1 petitions require detailed evidence of awards, publications, or critical roles, while E‑2 demands a substantial at‑risk investment and majority ownership by nationals of a treaty country. Processing can take several months, and both categories often require expert legal guidance.

What government support schemes exist for startups in Singapore and India?

EnterpriseSG in Singapore offers grants such as Startup SG Founder and equity co‑investment through SEEDS Capital. India’s Startup India scheme provides tax holidays and easier winding‑up norms for recognised startups. These programs reduce early burn and signal policy commitment, but they do not offset weaker late‑stage funding or exit markets that push globally oriented founders toward U.S. capital pools.

How does a founder’s redomiciliation affect existing Asian investors?

When an Asian startup flips into a U.S. holding company, existing local investors typically exchange their shares for equity in the new parent via a share‑swap, preserving economic exposure but often subordinating them to new preferred rounds. This can introduce different liquidation preferences, governance terms, and U.S. tax considerations. LPs in Asia‑focused funds must assess these impacts on expected returns and exit jurisdiction.

Explainer

H‑1B visa
A U.S. non‑immigrant visa that allows companies to employ foreign workers in specialty occupations. The annual statutory cap is 85,000 visas, though petitions exceeded 680,000 for the fiscal year 2026 cycle. It is the primary visa sought by startup founders and engineers moving to the U.S., but its lottery system creates low selection odds.
O‑1 visa
A U.S. visa for individuals with extraordinary ability in sciences, arts, education, business, or athletics. Unlike the H‑1B, it has no annual cap and can be a faster route for founders who can prove sustained national or international acclaim. It requires detailed evidence such as awards or published material and is increasingly used when H‑1B slots are unavailable.
Dry powder
The capital that a venture‑capital or private‑equity fund has raised but not yet invested. High dry‑powder levels can suggest investor caution or a shortage of attractive deals. Asia‑Pacific venture dry powder stood at over $150 billion at end‑2025, yet annual deployment had fallen more than 40% from its 2021 peak, reflecting the exit and valuation challenges in the region.
SGX
The Singapore Exchange, the city‑state’s sole stock exchange. SGX hosts the iEdge Southeast Asia Tech Index, which tracks technology companies across the region. In the 12 months to June 2026, that index lagged the Nasdaq by more than 20 percentage points, underlining the relative weakness of local tech listings compared with U.S. markets.

Covered in this article: Southeast Asia East Asia China India Singapore

Priya Menon

Priya Menon covers capital, markets, and economic policy across Asia-Pacific. Her reporting focuses on the numbers that drive decisions — currency moves, investment flows, sovereign debt, and the financial exposures that connect Asian economies to Western portfolios. She writes for readers who need to understand what a policy announcement means for their money, not just for the country making it.